App St
W-L: ( 5- 6) PR = 90.7801Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 831 H Ea Tenn St 38-10 907 A Clemson ACC (10- 3, 96.1) 20-66 914 A Ea Carolina American ( 7- 5, 90.6) 21-19 919 H So Alabama SUN ( 6- 6, 90.4) 14-48 1005 A Marshall SUN (10- 3, 94.5) 37-52 1012 A Louisiana SUN (10- 3, 93.2) 24-34 1026 H Georgia St SUN ( 3- 9, 88.6) 33-26 1102 H Old Dominion SUN ( 5- 7, 91.1) 28-20 1107 A Coastal Car SUN ( 6- 6, 90.6) 24-38 1123 H J Madison SUN ( 8- 4, 92.3) 34-20 1130 A Georgia So SUN ( 8- 4, 92.7) 20-29
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
907 A Clemson 20-66 -46 -6 0.00
914 A Ea Carolina 21-19 2 -1 + 2.72
919 H So Alabama 14-48 -34 1 --- -6.27
1005 A Marshall 37-52 -15 -5 -0.41
1012 A Louisiana 24-34 -10 -3 -1.66
1026 H Georgia St 33-26 7 3 1.93
1102 H Old Dominion 28-20 8 1 ++ 4.46
1107 A Coastal Car 24-38 -14 -1 -- -4.23
1123 H J Madison 34-20 14 -1 ++ 5.63
1130 A Georgia So 20-29 -9 -3 - -2.18
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 919 H So Alabama 14-48 -34 1 --- -6.27 1107 A Coastal Car 24-38 -14 -1 -- -4.23 1130 A Georgia So 20-29 -9 -3 - -2.18 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1102 H Old Dominion 28-20 8 1 ++ 4.46 1123 H J Madison 34-20 14 -1 ++ 5.63 914 A Ea Carolina 21-19 2 -1 + 2.72 |
App St Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Boston Col ` | Boston Col ` | ||
| California | California | California | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | App St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | App St | |
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Georgia Tech | |
| Louisville | Louisville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Louisville | |
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| UNC | UNC | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | UNC | |
| NC St | NC St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | NC St | |
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Pittsburgh | |
| SMU | SMU | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | SMU | |
| Stanford | Stanford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Stanford | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Virginia | |
| Va Tech | Va Tech | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Va Tech | |
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Wake Forest | |
| Army | Army | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Army | |
| Charlotte | App St | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | App St | |
| Ea Carolina | App St | App St | ||
| Fla Atlantic | App St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | App St | |
| Memphis | Memphis | Memphis | ||
| Navy | Navy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| No Texas | App St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | App St | |
| Rice | App St | App St | ||
| So Florida | App St | App St | ||
| Temple | App St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | App St | |
| Tulane | Tulane | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Tulane | |
| Tulsa | App St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | App St | |
| UAB | App St | App St | ||
| UTSA | App St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | App St | |
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | ||
| Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | ||
| TCU | TCU | TCU | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | UCF | UCF | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We Virginia | We Virginia | We Virginia | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Ohio St | Ohio St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ohio St | |
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Purdue | App St | App St | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Florida Intl | App St | App St | ||
| Jacksonv. St | App St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | App St | |
| Kennesaw St | App St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | App St | |
| Liberty | App St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | App St | |
| La Tech | App St | App St | ||
| Middle Tenn | App St | App St | ||
| NM St | App St | App St | ||
| SHouston St | App St | App St | ||
| UTEP | App St | App St | ||
| We Kentucky | App St | App St | ||
| UMass | App St | App St | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| UConn | UConn | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UConn | |
| Akron | App St | App St | ||
| Ball St | App St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | App St | |
| Bowl. Green | App St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | App St | |
| Buffalo | App St | App St | ||
| Cen Michigan | App St | App St | ||
| Ea Michigan | App St | App St | ||
| Kent State | App St | App St | ||
| MiamiOH | App St | App St | ||
| No Illinois | App St | App St | ||
| Ohio | Ohio | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ohio | |
| Toledo | App St | App St | ||
| We Michigan | App St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | App St | |
| Air Force | App St | App St | ||
| Boise State | Boise State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Boise State | |
| Colorado St | Colorado St | Colorado St | ||
| Fresno St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Hawaii | App St | App St | ||
| Nevada | App St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | App St | |
| New Mexico | App St | App St | ||
| San Diego St | App St | App St | ||
| San Jose St | San Jose St | San Jose St | ||
| UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | ||
| Utah St | App St | App St | ||
| Wyoming | App St | App St | ||
| Oregon St | App St | App St | ||
| Wash St | Wash St | Wash St | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Georgia | |
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | LSU | |
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss St | App St | App St | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ole Miss | |
| So Carolina | So Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | So Carolina | |
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Vanderbilt | |
| Arkansas State | App St | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | App St | |
| Coastal Car | Coastal Car | Coastal Car | ||
| Georgia So | Georgia So | Georgia So | ||
| Georgia St | App St | App St | ||
| J Madison | App St | App St | ||
| Louisiana | Louisiana | Louisiana | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | ||
| Old Dominion | App St | App St | ||
| So Miss | App St | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | App St | |
| So Alabama | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| Texas State | Texas State | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Texas State | |
| Troy | Troy | Troy 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| La-Monroe | App St | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | App St |
PowerWise = 49
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.10
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Clemson (10- 3, 96.1) 20-66 -3.76 14.49 0.91 1.21 -3.46
0 A Ea Carolina ( 7- 5, 90.6) 21-19 -9.30 8.96 0.91 1.21 11.94
0 H So Alabama ( 6- 6, 90.4) 14-48 -9.49 8.77 -0.91 1.21 -12.58
0 A Marshall (10- 3, 94.5) 37-52 -5.43 12.83 0.91 1.21 -5.48
0 A Louisiana (10- 3, 93.2) 24-34 -6.68 11.57 0.91 1.21 -6.99
0 H Georgia St ( 3- 9, 88.6) 33-26 -11.29 6.97 -0.91 1.21 7.34
0 H Old Dominion ( 5- 7, 91.1) 28-20 -8.75 9.50 -0.91 1.21 10.41
0 A Coastal Car ( 6- 6, 90.6) 24-38 -9.25 9.00 0.91 1.21 -10.11
0 H J Madison ( 8- 4, 92.3) 34-20 -7.59 10.67 -0.91 1.21 11.82
0 A Georgia So ( 8- 4, 92.7) 20-29 -7.21 11.05 0.91 1.21 -7.63
------
-4.74
|
winning pts = 41.4994 losing points = -46.2420
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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